Kelly Criterion: The Optimal Bet Sizing Formula for Prediction Markets
·Chris
Learn how the Kelly Criterion works, why professional traders use it, and how to apply it to prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
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In-depth coverage of prediction markets, platforms, and trading strategies.
Prediction Markets in 2025: The Rise of Event-Driven Finance
·Chris
How prediction markets grew from niche crypto experiments to a $40+ billion industry reshaping how we price uncertainty.
Read more →Polymarket: From Crypto Experiment to $9 Billion Platform
·Chris
The story of how a blockchain-based prediction market attracted a $2 billion investment from the NYSE's parent company.
Read more →Kalshi: The CFTC-Regulated Prediction Market Reshaping Finance
·Chris
How Kalshi became the first federally-regulated prediction exchange and what its explosive 2025 growth means for traders.
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