The Weekend Ahead: The NFL Divisionals
An in depth look at what's to come.
Insights on prediction markets, probability, and finding edges.
An in depth look at what's to come.
Second-order composite metrics that combine our 100 stats into single predictive signals. Meet CardiacScore and FraudScore.
We went from 60+ metrics to exactly 100. Three new stat categories, defensive playmaking metrics nobody tracks, and contextual splits that markets completely ignore.
Our Cadence Model turns 60+ team statistics into matchup-specific event rates, then simulates thousands of games to generate probability distributions.
We built a comprehensive NFL stats dashboard with 60+ metrics across 9 categories—including edge stats that prediction markets chronically misprice.
A humbling journey from derivatives trading confidence to realizing sports betting is a full-blown quantitative financial ecosystem with its own language, metrics, and sharp professionals.
While everyone knows about Kelly Criterion, there's a lesser-known strategy that's perfect for futures markets. Here's how Dutching works and when to use it.
How we compare live market prices to historical win rates to find edges in prediction markets.