The Hook
The hook is the half-point in a point spread—the ".5" in lines like -3.5 or +7.5. Its purpose is to prevent a push (a tie where bets are refunded) by forcing every game to have a winner and loser against the spread.
Why the Hook Matters
In NFL betting, certain margins occur far more often than others due to scoring structure (3-point field goals, 7-point touchdowns). These "key numbers" are:
| Margin | Frequency | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | ~15% of games | Most common |
| 7 | ~10% of games | Second most common |
| 6 | ~5% of games | Field goal difference |
| 10 | ~5% of games | TD + FG |
The hook determines whether these common margins help or hurt you.
Buying and Selling the Hook
Many books let you adjust lines by paying extra vig:
Buying the hook: Move from -3 to -2.5 (costs extra juice) Selling the hook: Move from -3 to -3.5 (get better juice)
Around key numbers, the hook is worth more:
| Move | Typical Cost | Value at Key Number |
|---|---|---|
| -3 to -2.5 | 20 cents | High value (avoids push on 3) |
| -3.5 to -3 | 10 cents | High value (adds push on 3) |
| -5 to -4.5 | 15 cents | Lower value (5 is less common) |
Buying off 3 and 7 is usually worth the juice. Buying off non-key numbers rarely is.
The Hook and Bad Beats
The hook creates bad beats. Without it:
- Team wins by exactly 3 → push (money returned)
- With -3.5 → You lose on exactly 3
The hook forces binary outcomes, which increases both wins and losses compared to push scenarios. Books prefer this because it:
- Generates more betting action (no "boring" pushes)
- Creates more emotional variance (more bad beats = more "revenge" betting)
- Simplifies their math (no refund processing)
Hook Strategy
Sharp bettors think carefully about the hook:
At -3: Would you rather be -3.5 (lose on exactly 3) or -2.5 (push on 3)? At +7: Would you rather be +7.5 (win on exactly 7) or +6.5 (lose on exactly 7)?
The "right" answer depends on your handicap. If you think a team wins by 5, both -3 and -3.5 look the same. But if you think it's close to 3, the hook is everything.
Related Terms
- Push — The tie that hooks prevent
- Bad Beat — Often caused by landing on the wrong side of a hook
- Key Numbers — Margins where the hook matters most
Ready to Find Edges?
Use our dashboards to spot mispricings and our tools to size your positions.