Push
A push occurs when a bet results in a tie—the final margin lands exactly on the spread number. When you push, your stake is refunded. No win, no loss.
How Pushes Happen
Pushes occur on whole-number spreads when the margin matches exactly:
| Your Bet | Final Score | Margin | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs -3 | Chiefs 27-24 | 3 | Push |
| Bills +7 | Bills lose 28-21 | 7 | Push |
| Over 47 | Final: 24-23 | 47 total | Push |
The hook (half-point) exists specifically to prevent pushes by forcing binary outcomes.
Push Frequency
Pushes are relatively common around key numbers:
| Spread | Push Probability |
|---|---|
| 3 | ~8% |
| 7 | ~6% |
| 6 | ~3% |
| 10 | ~3% |
| Other whole numbers | 1-2% |
This is why buying off key numbers (moving -3 to -2.5) can be worth the extra vig.
Pushes in Parlays
Different books handle parlay pushes differently:
Most common: The pushed leg is removed and the parlay continues at reduced odds.
Example: 4-leg parlay with one push becomes a 3-leg parlay.
Some books: The entire parlay pushes if any leg pushes.
Always check house rules before betting parlays on whole-number spreads.
Push Strategy
Some bettors actively seek or avoid pushes:
Seeking pushes: If you're uncertain, a spread with push potential limits downside. Worst case = money back.
Avoiding pushes: If you have conviction, buy the hook to ensure a decisive outcome. No "wasted" bets.
Professional bettors generally prefer decisive outcomes. A push doesn't build the bankroll—it's dead money for a week.
Pushes in Prediction Markets
Binary event contracts on Kalshi rarely push because outcomes are yes/no. However, some markets have push conditions:
- Event postponed → refund
- Market voided → refund
- Settlement dispute → potential refund
Always read market rules before trading.
Related Terms
- Hook — The half-point that prevents pushes
- Key Numbers — Margins where pushes are most common
- Spread — The point handicap that creates push possibilities
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