Glossary/Total

Total (Over/Under)

A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams. The sportsbook sets a number, and you bet whether the actual total will be over or under that number.

How Totals Work

If the total is set at 47.5:

Combined Score Over Result Under Result
51 (28-23) ✓ Win ✗ Lose
45 (24-21) ✗ Lose ✓ Win
48 (27-21) ✓ Win ✗ Lose

The half-point (hook) eliminates pushes.

Totals vs Spreads

Aspect Totals Spreads
Focus Combined scoring Which team wins/covers
Correlated to Weather, pace, game script Team quality difference
Sharp attention Often less Primary focus
Public tendency Overs Favorites

Many bettors specialize in one or the other.

Reading Totals

Standard notation:

  • Over 47.5 (-110): Bet $110 to win $100 that combined score exceeds 47.5
  • Under 47.5 (-110): Bet $110 to win $100 that combined score is 47 or less

Some books offer adjusted totals:

  • Over 44.5 (-150): Lower total, pay more vig for easier win
  • Over 50.5 (+130): Higher total, get plus-money for harder win

Factors Affecting Totals

Factor Impact on Total
Weather (wind, cold, rain) Lowers scoring
Indoor vs outdoor Domes = higher totals
Pace of play Fast teams = higher totals
Defensive strength Good D = lower totals
Injuries to skill players May lower totals

Weather is particularly impactful. Wind over 15mph significantly affects passing and kicking.

Public Bias on Totals

Recreational bettors tend to bet overs:

  • "Rooting for points is more fun"
  • "Good offenses" get more attention than good defenses
  • Prime time games expected to be shootouts

This creates potential value on unders, though the edge has compressed over time.

Totals in Live Betting

Live totals adjust based on:

  • Current score
  • Time remaining
  • Game pace so far
  • Possession and field position

First-half totals and live totals can offer opportunities when books are slow to adjust.

Related Terms

  • Hook — The half-point preventing pushes on totals
  • Spread — Betting on margin rather than combined score
  • Fading — Contrarian betting on unders vs public
Last updated: January 11, 2026
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